Admissions Tests and the Probability of Academic Success in Higher Education. A Study in a Mexican State Public University

Authors

  • Ragueb Chain Revuelta Instituto de Investigaciones en Educación Universidad Veracruzana
  • Nicandro Cruz Ramírez Laboratorio Nacional de Informática Avanzada, A. C.
  • Manuel Martínez Morales Departamento de Inteligencia Artificial Universidad Veracruzana
  • Nancy Jácome Ávila Instituto de Investigaciones en Educación Universidad Veracruzana

Keywords:

Entrance examinations, performance, higher education.

Abstract

The growing demand for admission to institutions of higher education, combined with the decreasing availability of the academic supply, has increased the need to apply selection criteria, among which are entrance examinations. This work shows an approximation of the relationship between students’ results in the areas of knowledge explored by the National Examination for Admission to Higher Education (EXANI II), and their scholastic trajectory. Analyzed was information available for the 1998 EXANI II results, and the academic path of 6,937 freshman students at The University of Veracruz (UV). For the analysis, conditional independence tests, as well as simple correlation tools were used. Without exhausting all the possibilities, analysis of the data suggests the degree of association between the examination scores and university performance.

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References

Cruz Ramírez, N. (2001). Building bayesian networks from data: a constraint-based approach. Tesis doctoral no publicada. The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, Gran Bretaña.

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Martínez Rizo, F., Backhoff, E., Castañeda, S., De la Orden, A., Schmelkes, S., Solano-Flores, G., et. al. (2000). Estándares de calidad para instrumentos de evaluación educativa. México: Centro Nacional de Evaluación para la Educación Superior.

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Article abstract page views: 2571

Published

2003-05-01

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